Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 177.891010 211.217908 252.102067 307.010286 380.549574 4.783410e+02 623.232954
2025-01-19 132.372064 169.877594 221.680929 301.970015 430.664929 6.448925e+02 1073.569948
2025-01-26 115.322404 156.624629 219.013880 327.631015 531.867715 9.576194e+02 2178.781611
2025-02-02 107.797137 153.781681 229.029467 375.352768 700.000539 1.582310e+03 5919.240364
2025-02-09 94.403947 138.471703 213.998594 371.066188 759.285165 2.041890e+03 12711.336740
2025-02-16 85.626205 128.834402 206.147419 377.688846 851.108142 2.804701e+03 41033.829918
2025-02-23 78.137861 120.014217 197.641778 379.608435 933.934648 3.795111e+03 268234.730663
2025-03-02 72.461644 113.451071 192.011975 386.257679 1040.912428 5.421870e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 67.603372 107.640066 186.681025 391.860418 1153.867368 7.952629e+03 NaN
2025-03-16 62.128901 99.968039 176.077779 379.938204 1188.080623 1.017760e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 59.949077 98.293934 178.071610 404.544284 1424.095023 2.047429e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 55.340862 91.342075 167.148835 386.938587 1425.426374 2.608259e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 51.954096 86.831958 161.968221 388.875422 1570.186057 5.211942e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 48.409422 81.683894 154.634958 382.097226 1664.475046 1.072608e+05 NaN
2025-04-20 47.337316 81.463321 159.068679 418.179280 2171.544775 5.208461e+06 NaN
2025-04-27 47.429434 83.680992 170.092494 486.366980 3306.999237 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 44.711196 79.476158 163.535540 480.184056 3586.533057 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 42.788178 76.828857 160.751019 489.742510 4203.379599 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 40.840578 73.928723 156.795242 492.518139 4782.435946 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 39.257359 71.702672 154.394060 502.150234 5669.716234 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 37.764433 69.542368 151.845903 510.287542 6715.695115 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 35.786219 66.087275 145.007950 492.995198 6870.895252 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 35.163750 65.764578 147.495809 528.780347 9802.513628 NaN NaN